Which Obama Would America Get?:

A thoughtful piece by Stuart Taylor:

When John McCain and many other Republicans ask, "Who is the real Barack Obama?" there is an implication that maybe he is somehow sinister or extremist.

I don't believe that. But I do think that there are two very different Obamas. Both are extraordinarily intelligent, serene under pressure, and driven by an admirable social conscience -- albeit as willing to deploy deception as the next politician. But while the first Obama would be a well-meaning failure, the second could become a great president.

nyu law libertarian (www):
If Obama comes out swinging with Pelosi and Reid in his corner cheering him on, he could see the same type of reaction from the right that Bush got from the left during his tenure. I have a sneaking suspicion that he is a better politician than that. After all, if the polls are correct and he only wins by 5 percentage points instead of a landslide, he will have to take into account the fact that half of the country is willing to vote against his ideology even after 8 years of a Republican failure.

But then you get the story on Drudge today about him booting from his campaign every paper that endorsed McCain. So who knows.
10.31.2008 11:44am
Houston Lawyer:
If you read only the MSM, you wouldn't know that the Obama from the first half of the essay even exists. Many of his followers just take it on faith that the transcendent post-partisan Obama is the one that would govern. His opponents' concerns come out of his track record.
10.31.2008 12:08pm
JosephSlater (mail):
A win by "only" 5 percentage points would be better than any non-incumbent prez candidate has done in a long, long time.
10.31.2008 12:10pm
Hoosier:
If he is elected--as seems likely--I hope my fellow conservatives will give him a fair shot at demonstrating that he is who he portrays himself as being. Clinton made a serious error in stronly suggesting that he'd include Republicans in his cabinet, and then failing to do so during his first administration. Bush ought to have done so after 9/11, and he didn't. That may be the second biggest mistake of his administration in retropect.

We'll know during the transition how he plans on staffing his administration. If he's willing to govern from the center, I'm willing to give him a chance. So let's assume that he is being upfront about what he plans on doing. If he isn't, he'll pay a price. If he is being upfront, then there's no point in wringing our hands today.
10.31.2008 12:12pm
Michael B (mail):
"I don't believe that."

The more basic point is that people, out of necessity, are forced to invest so much belief and blind faith - because the evidence simply isn't there and probative queries are variously rebuffed by Obama and by his acolytes and devotees as well. That, and despite the fact he's written not one but two autobiographies without having written any memorable legislation of note. Though stuff like his January 31, 2007 legislation, which would have undercut Gen. Petraeus's surge strategy is certainly memorable.

Then there's Fouad Ajami's take, excerpt:

"After nearly two years on the trail, the audience can pretty much anticipate and recite his lines. The political genius of the man is that he is a blank slate. The devotees can project onto him what they wish."

"Blank slate" being a supremely condign term. Hooray for the blank slate!

Finally, Stuart Taylor understates the case, Obama possesses the potential to be an abysmal failure, a Jimmy Carter II, in a word: descent. What legislator, in the entire country, writes two autobiographies without having written any noteworthy legislation?

Finally again, by contrast, McCain represents something on the order of an Eisenhower with some occasional mavericky and independent sensibilities - and an Eisenhower styled presidency would be about right, right now, especially so when compared to a personality cult styled blank slate who desparately needs to be seasoned before taking the helm of anything (e.g., the Joyce Foundation), much less the presidency at this time in the nation's history.
10.31.2008 12:14pm
Anderson (mail):
Finally again, by contrast, McCain represents something on the order of an Eisenhower

Oh, my god. What a slur on the memory of Eisenhower.

Can anyone imagine the Grand Alliance with McCain in Eisenhower's shoes?

Other than "old" and "Republican," what similarity is there between McCain and Eisenhower?

It is soooooo depressing for those of us who actually know a little history, to have to see Bush compared to Churchill, or McCain to Eisenhower. What next -- Sarah Palin and Margaret Thatcher?
10.31.2008 12:20pm
JosephSlater (mail):
Hoosier:

OK, you hooked me by referring to the "second biggest mistake" of the Bush administration. Now I gotta ask, what was the first worst?

Oh, and re one of your posts on another thread, while I found it entirely reasonable on the substance, I must ask: what, exactly, do you have against ocelots?
10.31.2008 12:22pm
flyerhawk:
I suspect that Obama will appoint some Republicans in his cabinet. Chuck Hagel certainly is a possibility.

Michael,

I have absolutely no idea why Obama's books have any relevance to legislation he has written.
10.31.2008 12:24pm
SPO:
"admirable social conscience" = "tell everyone what to do"
10.31.2008 12:35pm
Michael B (mail):
flyerhawk,

They don't have "relevance" to his legislation as such, they rather serve as context. Again, what legislator, in the entire country, writes two autobiographies without having written any noteworthy legislation whatsoever? And what does that reflect in the first place, other than self-regard, self-promotion, self-aggrandizement, etc.?

It's largely a rhetorical question to help accent and throw some light on that context, on that self-regard. Though if there are any other legislators in that mold, I'd be interested in knowing of them. I doubt there are any at all. That type of self-promotion and self-aggrandizement is rather stunning, especially so when the "blank slate" phenomenon is taken into account.

And Anderson,

You're going to have to do something other than sniff and sneer vacantly and dismissively. McCain very likely would be in an Eisenhower styled mold. Not a duplicate, but Eisenhower serves as a relevant touchstone and he's certainly better than a "blank slate" whose devotees project so much "belief" and "hope" into, absent virtually any evidence to help support those beliefs and hopes.
10.31.2008 12:38pm
Ugh (mail):

a personality cult styled blank slate who desparately needs to be seasoned before taking the helm of anything


Oh you mean Obama. For a second there I thought you were talking about George W. Bush circa 2000.
10.31.2008 12:44pm
ObeliskToucher:
If he is elected--as seems likely--I hope my fellow conservatives will give him a fair shot at demonstrating that he is who he portrays himself as being. Clinton made a serious error in stronly suggesting that he'd include Republicans in his cabinet, and then failing to do so during his first administration. Bush ought to have done so after 9/11, and he didn't. That may be the second biggest mistake of his administration in retropect.
Norman Mineta? Or was Bush required to add additional Democrats to his cabinet after 9/11?
10.31.2008 12:45pm
CJColucci:
A thoughtful piece by Stuart Taylor

That would, if true, be news.
10.31.2008 12:50pm
hawkins:

After all, if the polls are correct and he only wins by 5 percentage points instead of a landslide, he will have to take into account the fact that half of the country is willing to vote against his ideology even after 8 years of a Republican failure.


Didnt Bush declare a much smaller margin of victory to be a "mandate" from the American people?
10.31.2008 12:50pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
I think there are two issues here. The first is what an anonymous Old English poet wrote:

Feoh byþ frofur | fira gehwylcum;
(Gold is comfort for every man)
sceal ðeah manna gehwylc | miclum hyt dælan
(Though each man must deal it out)
gif he wile for dryhtne | domes hleotan.
(If he wants the Lord to give him good judgement.)

This is fairly similar to Maxims II:

Cyning sceal on halle beargas daelan.
(The king must deal out [gold] rings in a hall).

In both cases, the idea was that if the wealthy or the kings hoard the wealth the economy dies. (Then they have to go and kill the king!)

I am all for luxury taxes, etc. I think we could do better than a tax bracket system because sometimes it leads to unpleasant surprises when one bumps up tax brackets. This, however, is a problem that could easily be fixed if everyone got together and decided it was a problem worth fixing.
10.31.2008 12:51pm
Norman Bates (mail):
Barak Obama has revealed a significant portion of himself in two book-length memoirs, the first of which was Dreams from My Father: A Story of Race and Inheritance. Unfortunately, his prose style is so prolix and complex that I, like probably most readers, found it impossible to read far into either book. I also suspect that most people who claim to have read either or both of Obama's books either stopped early on or wound up performing a perfunctory skim.

Steve Sailer is the first pertson I've run across who presents proof positive that he's actually read through this book. If you want a vague idea of what we may be looking forward to, check it out. A free download is available at

Steve Sailer's Analysis of Barak Obama's first memoir

It should scare the hell out of most normal persons who are not on the far left of America's political spectrum.
10.31.2008 12:57pm
David Larsomn (mail):
There is no evidence-none--ZERO--that Obama is even moderately intelligent let alone "extraordinarily" intelligent. How does this kind of crap become gospel? Was it the apes and figs hiaku that persuaded everyone he is a genius? Have you ever heard him try to speak away from a teleprompter? The man is an embarrassment to himself and to his puppeteers. This kind of garbage must be challenged. Show me some evidence--ANY evidence, that Obama has an i.q. over 90.....
10.31.2008 1:00pm
EH (mail):
If he is a good politician, and I'm pretty sure we're seeing that he is, there are an infinity of Obamas. It's a hallmark of adaptability. Not only questioning "the real" Obama (that doesn't exist), Mr. Bernstein generously grants an expansion to two (two!) Obamas that amount to a rhetorical reduction from an extreme position (one "real" Obama) to a slightly less extreme one (maybe there's another Obama). This is incredibly naive and perhaps a conceit on the author's part to assert that everybody interacts with everyone else with unitary identities. I'm pretty sure everybody over the age of 12 knows this isn't the case.
10.31.2008 1:03pm
Constantin:
a personality cult styled blank slate who desparately needs to be seasoned before taking the helm of anything

>>Oh you mean Obama. For a second there I thought you were talking about George W. Bush circa 2000.


"Obama '08. He'll only be as lost as George W. Bush." There's a winning slogan for you.
10.31.2008 1:05pm
hawkins:

There is no evidence-none--ZERO--that Obama is even moderately intelligent let alone "extraordinarily" intelligent.


This is really absurd. While I dont agree with those who call him a genius, graduating magna cum laude from HLS is ample proof of extraordinary intelligence.
10.31.2008 1:06pm
David Larsomn (mail):
Obama would be incredibly evil if he had a brain, in light of the philosophy he espouses. Gee, every time it has been tried, hundreds of millions have died (communism). Lets try it again! Could be fun! Oh, and by the way, there are 57 states in the union! Disgraceful. Embarrassing, and frankly, stupid.
10.31.2008 1:07pm
David Larsomn (mail):
Well I did that too, hawkins. Wasn't that tough really. Want to elect me president now? Oh wait, I guess I don't qualify for affirmative action.
10.31.2008 1:07pm
Reason?:
@ David Larsomn:

I assume you graduated magna from HLS? You're a fool. Get off this blog.
10.31.2008 1:09pm
hawkins:

Well I did that too, hawkins. Wasn't that tough really. Want to elect me president now? Oh wait, I guess I don't qualify for affirmative action.


I dont claim extraordinary intelligence qualifies someone to be President. Apparently you think it does for some reason. Why else would you use that as your argument that he shouldnt be President?
10.31.2008 1:11pm
David Larsomn (mail):
Yes, I did actually. 1997. Why do you find that hard to believe? Because I don't buy into "Obama is brilliant" as a premise?
10.31.2008 1:12pm
Dave N (mail):
Hoosier,

I generally agree with your posts (across the board) but I think your argument that Bush43 should have appointed more Democrats misses the mark.

According to Wikipedia, more Democrats have served under President Bush than Republicans who served under President Clinton--and if you include the relatively minor appoints, more than Presidents Clinton and Bush41 combined.

I would note that the Bush43 list includes four former Democratic members of Congress--three of whom are still serving in sub-Cabinet level positions.
10.31.2008 1:12pm
Reason?:
Bullsh*t. No HLS grad could hold the opinion you do in good faith. Go away.
10.31.2008 1:13pm
David Larsomn (mail):
Yes, I guess we can expect a lot more of that in the future, Reason? "No one who disagrees with me could possibly be intelligent or moral." Is this the new "fairness" doctrine?
10.31.2008 1:17pm
Reason?:
If you don't think that Obama has an IQ above 90, you're either (a) not arguing in good faith or (b) an idiot. You choose.
10.31.2008 1:17pm
Michael B (mail):
Ugh,

Center and center-right voters don't look up to Reagan in a personality cult styled manner, much less any other conservative leader. It's no coincidence that the most noteworthy personality cults of the 20th century were all of the Left or within the Left's social/political genealogy (e.g., a Mussolini would fall within the latter grouping). The center and center-right occasionally admire their political leaders in a too unguarded fashion - but not in the manner or mold of a personality cult styled blank slate together with the worship and ideological projection that typically accompanies such political cults.

Btw Anderson,

John McCain is the one who has called for an alliance of democracies - a requisite first step in displacing some of the deeply entrenched malignancies as reflected in the U.N. and other tranzi institutions. Hence your sniff concerning Eisenhower and the Grand Alliance is hugely - and ironically - misplaced.

Likewise, why elect, at this moment in history, an unseasoned Obama who would further entrench those transnational malignancies? The U.N., during Eisenhower's era, was a viable and conscionable institution. Much less so today where too many counter-productive malignancies are in fact on evidence in that transnational institution. Durban and Durban II are merely two examples, their failures in addressing genocide in Sudan is an example, their numerous sex scandals serve as examples, the Oil for Bribes scandal as another example of deeply entrenched, counter-productive malignancies at the U.N.

Thus the deeply telling, deeply ironic nature of your query concerning Eisenhower, the Grand Alliance, etc.
10.31.2008 1:21pm
Ben P:
So let's get this logic straight.

HLS Degree with Magna Cum Laude = not evidence of intelligence (not genius mind you, just intelligence)

Being Editor of the HLR = not evidence of intelligence. Typical commentators talk about being president of HLR as the pre-step to being a shoo in for a Supreme Court clerkship if that's what a particular graduate wants.

Writing two bestseller books (even if autobiographical in nature) = not evidence of intelligence.


Damn, I wish my law school resume was half that impressive. Only being a member of a law review at a non-top 20 school must leave me with a room temperature IQ. I'm surprised I can dress myself in the morning.
10.31.2008 1:24pm
David Larsomn (mail):
Thanks Reason? I'll let you choose for me. I don't want to hijack this thread so this will be my last post. But what I have said I shall maintain. And I if you would like to challenge me to a intelligence test I will meet you any time, anywhere, weapons of your choice! :-) Now pace!
10.31.2008 1:25pm
Bob from Ohio (mail):

Both are extraordinarily intelligent, serene under pressure, and driven by an admirable social conscience


Taylor would have made a fine courtier to Charles I or Louis XV.

As for picking Hegal, I don't think that would sooth many GOP brows. He's not very popular in the GOP. In fact, conservatives would view an Hegal appointment as an insult.
10.31.2008 1:27pm
Ben P:

Center and center-right voters don't look up to Reagan in a personality cult styled manner, much less any other conservative leader.


I'm not sure of the qualification you're making here.

If it's that centrist voters don't buy into personality cults, I'd be inclined to agree.

However, the second half of your paragraph seems to imply that personality cults are functions of leftist leaders only. I don't agree with that.

To the extent a "personality cult" exists around Obama it's no more extensive than that which evolved around Reagan, particularly after his presidency.

I'm also slightly confused by the implication that politics in America consist of "center right, center, and left." Even while fully believing America has the better policies on many ideas, American politics would be Far right in relation to most other first world countries.
10.31.2008 1:31pm
wfjag:

The pragmatic, consensus-building, inspirational Obama who has been on display during the general election campaign is a prodigious listener and learner. He can see all sides of every question.

Taylor misses the obvious 3d possibility -- Obama has neither the experience or a principled philosophy to consistently follow any course.

He clearly is impressed with himself:

"Like any politician at this level, I've got a healthy ego," [Obama] said.

"His Diversity A Plus, Obama Says", USA Today (Oct. 31, 2008).

He is also surrounded by people who are so committed they see nothing wrong with vilifying opponents, and not even condemning illegal means to do so (such as events surrounding Jon the Plumber show). He is also surrounded by people who will not brook any dissent or questioning (as shown by today throwing off the campaign plane reporters from 3 newspapers that endorsed McCain).

The 3d possibility is that Obama will make decisions based on the last person he talks to, and he has surrounded himself with True Believers. That is neither the approach of a pragmatic consensus builder, or of an ideologue marching to the drum of Pelosi or Reid. Rather, it would be the approach of someone who has surrounded himself with a personality cult.

Since Obama has no record, I can't tell what approach he'll take.
10.31.2008 1:34pm
Dave N (mail):
Didnt Bush declare a much smaller margin of victory to be a "mandate" from the American people
Winning candidates always CLAIM a mandate. However, if the politician overreaches, then there is a backlash (which, with the exception of 1998, is why the election in year 6 in a two-term President's term is usually very good for the opposition party).
10.31.2008 1:38pm
Anderson (mail):
You're going to have to do something other than sniff and sneer vacantly and dismissively.

Uh, no. *You* compared McCain to Eisenhower; *you* have to present some basis for the comparison.

I made the factual point that McCain could not have done Eisenhower's job as SAC during WW2. You have perhaps some reason to think otherwise, based on McCain's temperament, character, and history?

I'm sure I'm not the only one who's all ears for *that* one.

And I if you would like to challenge me to a intelligence test

I think we all just watched you take the test. Oops.

Best of all, Michael B:

John McCain is the one who has called for an alliance of democracies - a requisite first step in displacing some of the deeply entrenched malignancies as reflected in the U.N. and other tranzi institutions. Hence your sniff concerning Eisenhower and the Grand Alliance is hugely - and ironically - misplaced.

Ah. So McCain "calls for" an "Alliance of Democracies" -- and *that* shows that he has anything like Eisenhower's political and leadership skills?

Quit embarrassing yourselves, people. Someone you know might recognize your comment.

Better wingnuts, please?
10.31.2008 1:38pm
Visitor Again:
If he is elected--as seems likely--I hope my fellow conservatives will give him a fair shot at demonstrating that he is who he portrays himself as being.

In the community where I live, South Los Angeles, which is largely black, the big hope--the one most talked about--is not that the opposition will lend Obama some good will, but that they won't have him assassinated. These people have heard the words that were spoken at GOP rallies over the past few months.

One might have cause to wonder whether it is too much to expect any good will from those Republicans who even now are depicting Obama as a lying, ignorant, incoherent, empty-headed, foppish, elitist, socialist, terrorist-loving, friend to communists, America-hating Muslim, Arab, inexperienced, two-faced, hypocritical, inarticulate, flowery-mouthed wimp who has atrocious judgment and who has never accomplished anything meaningful in his life yet had the audacity to author a memoir and an autobiography that should never have been written.
10.31.2008 1:44pm
A. Zarkov (mail):
My high-level source inside the Obama campaign confirms that there is indeed a cult of personality around Obama. He exerts an almost hypnotic influence over his staff. I'm also told the he does not like to bother with details.
10.31.2008 1:46pm
Dave N (mail):
Visitor Again,

As opposed to how Democrats portray John McCain? (see any random JBG post about McCain to get the latest DNC talking point).
10.31.2008 1:47pm
Michael B (mail):
"However, the second half of your paragraph seems to imply that personality cults are functions of leftist leaders only. I don't agree with that."

I wasn't indicating "only," rather I was alluding to the most prominent examples of the 20th century.

Likewise, I wouldn't refer to Obama's following as a personality cult in an unqualified manner. That's why I specifically indicated personality cult styled blank slate. I.e. it isn't a personality cult in a full blown manner, a la those noteworthy examples alluded to in the 20th century; such an intemperate comparison is not what I'm suggesting. Nonetheless, "blank slate" remains a condign term relative to Obama, for the reasons already suggested and for other reasons as well.

E.g., a political blank slate flourishes in an atmosphere where queries that presume to question the blank slate are rebuffed out of hand.
10.31.2008 1:50pm
Cityduck (mail):

Again, what legislator, in the entire country, writes two autobiographies without having written any noteworthy legislation whatsoever?


You need to examine Obama's legislative record. He has authored a number of noteworthy pieces of legislation. Ror example, as a state legislator he authored (and more impressively got passed with wide bi-partisan support) the law passed by any state requiring videotaping of criminal confessions. He also passed Illinois' first earned income tax credit and the first ethics and campaign finance law in 25 years. He teamed with Lugar in the Senate for the Lugar-Obama Nonproliferation Initiative. I could go on and on because Obama has a legislative record that encompasses hundreds and hundreds of pieces of legislation during the course of his career on both the state and federal levels.
10.31.2008 1:53pm
gab:
So, just to get this straight. We've just put into place the most "socialistic" policies the country has seen since the early-middle part of last century, and we're worried about "...marching to the drum of Pelosi and Reid?"

And, mind you, those policies have been enacted under the purview of a "conservative" administration.

The US government now has ownership interests in the nine largest banks in the country, as well as a number of smaller banks. The US gov't has nationalized the largest insurance company in the US, the two largest mortgage lenders in the US, and soon enough the largest car maker in the world.

The US goverment is funding a huge number of corporations in the Commercial Paper market, guaranteeding corporate debt out to three years, and injecting liquidity into domestic and internaional markets at a rate that is impossible to even keep track of. And those on the right are worried about Obama?

That's gotta be a joke right?
10.31.2008 1:54pm
24AheadDotCom (mail) (www):
The idea that BHO is "serene under pressure" is a complete myth. He's never really been challenged, and when he was he didn't respond too well.

For an example, see the last debate. After McCain called him on his associations, he spent 20 or so seconds of his reply stammering out a response while he was thinking what to say.

If anyone wants to put that to the test, push this plan to go to BHO's appearances and ask him to call for the release of the Khalidi tape.

As I predicted, no one else wants to do something very effective and that would show a completely different side to BHO than the one that's been presented to us by his campaign and the MSM.
10.31.2008 1:55pm
Anderson (mail):
As opposed to how Democrats portray John McCain? (see any random JBG post about McCain to get the latest DNC talking point).

Uh, yes: as opposed to how Democrats portray John McCain.

No one has portrayed him as anti-American, treasonous ("losing a war to win an election"), or terrorist-supporting.

One could scarcely come away from an Obama or Biden speech with the impression that shooting McCain is the only way to save the country.
10.31.2008 1:57pm
A Law Dawg:
One might have cause to wonder whether it is too much to expect any good will from those Republicans who even now are depicting Obama as a lying, ignorant, incoherent, empty-headed, foppish, elitist, socialist, terrorist-loving, friend to communists, America-hating Muslim, Arab, inexperienced, two-faced, hypocritical, inarticulate, flowery-mouthed wimp who has atrocious judgment and who has never accomplished anything meaningful in his life yet had the audacity to author a memoir and an autobiography that should never have been written.


I can see you work in my office.
10.31.2008 1:59pm
Dave N (mail):
Anderson,

Can you provide a cite to a McCain or Palin speech that gives the impression that the only way to save the country is to shoot Obama? Just one. With a link. Thank you.
10.31.2008 2:00pm
Michael B (mail):
Anderson,

We're not comparing John McCain as prisoner of war in the Hanoi Hilton with Eisenhower as commander during WWII - we're comparing Eisenhower's tenure as president with a prospective McCain presidency. The remainder of your criticism is nothing more than a vacant sneer and arrogation: all too predictable agitprop, misdirection and flim flam.

McCain's call for an alliance of democracies is in fact indicative and substantive - and since we're discussing a prospective or hoped for McCain presidency, those are the relevant benchmarks, the relevant indicators - and they're certainly better than worshipful blank slate projections into a cipher.
10.31.2008 2:01pm
Anderson (mail):
we're comparing Eisenhower's tenure as president with a prospective McCain presidency.

Right. On the basis of their backgrounds. McCain's hung out in the Senate for decades without doing much besides favors for Charles Keating and a campaign-reform bill that his own party considers a travesty of the Constitution.

Eisenhower worked closely with George Marshall to prepare and then lead a coalition of Anglo-American forces through multiple invasions, culminating in Normandy, and made the fractious alliance the most successful such collaboration in modern history.

I am not in fact a huge fan of Eisenhower as president -- I'd give him a B+ for foreign policy and a C on domestic -- but to compare him to John McCain is grotesque.

(Never mind the silly "Alliance of Democracies," which is merely another "quest for the villain" of the type that George Will recently mocked. Are India and Pakistan eligible democracies? Venezuela? Taiwan? Georgia? See any problems yet, or do you live in a fantasy world?)
10.31.2008 2:07pm
Festooned with Christmas tree ornaments:
For an example, see the last debate. After McCain called him on his associations, he spent 20 or so seconds of his reply stammering out a response while he was thinking what to say.


24ahead, can you provide a clip or reference for this? My youtube search only brought up this clip where Obama was not flustered in the least:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abLh3b68IHc
10.31.2008 2:07pm
Sarcastro (www):
24AheadDotCom has a point. This election has been such a cakewalk for Obama!

Now McCain clearly is steely cool under the pressure of this campaign. Everything just bounces off the guy like water off...cool steel.

Also, Khalidi tape! This guy is dangerous! Like, super-villain dangerous! He hornswaggled McCain out of like 44K! I think he uses some sort of hypnosis.

Also, I would like to state that McCain as President will be like Neo from the Matrix. The burden is now on the internets to disprove me.
10.31.2008 2:07pm
Anderson (mail):
Dave N, not ignoring you, just heading for lunch -- I will see what I can come up with after that.

Though I think the shouts of their audiences, as widely reported in the media, give a pretty clear indication what impression the GOP candidates are creating.
10.31.2008 2:08pm
Anderson (mail):
Also, I would like to state that McCain as President will be like Neo from the Matrix. The burden is now on the internets to disprove me.

Ha!
10.31.2008 2:09pm
A. Zarkov (mail):
Drudge reports that reporters from the NY Post, Washington Times and the Dallas Morning News were ousted from the campaign plane replaced by reporters from the African-oriented Jet and Essence magazines.

Obama operatives also threatened TV stations that ran campaign ads they didn't like. These are troubling events as they indicate Obama is not shy about silencing opposition.
10.31.2008 2:17pm
LN (mail):
One ticket talks about there being a "real America" populated by "real Americans" while the other ticket talks about how all Americans are real Americans. One candidate talks about how his opponent is a genuine war hero who has served his country but supports the wrong policies; the other candidate talks about how his opponent pals around with terrorists.

Wingnut response: but what McCain/Palin says is all true!
10.31.2008 2:20pm
A. Zarkov (mail):
Sarcastro:

"Also, I would like to state that McCain as President will be like Neo from the Matrix."


Why not Ming from Planet Mongo? From Wikipedia:
The world [Mongo] is ruled by an usurper named Ming the Merciless, who makes the planet a terrible place to inhabit.
Surely this describes The Earth on the rein of McCain the Usurper.
10.31.2008 2:23pm
Hoosier:
Anderson:

Other than "old" and "Republican," what similarity is there between McCain and Eisenhower?

There are a number of similarities. Does anyone really want me to bore them with my take on this?

JosephSlater
Hoosier:

OK, you hooked me by referring to the "second biggest mistake" of the Bush administration. Now I gotta ask, what was the first worst?


No ocelots!

I have nothing against ocelots. I just don't want one. But I don't want to legislate against them. I mean, I can be as tolerant as the next guy.
10.31.2008 2:24pm
Thales (mail) (www):
A "high level source inside the campaign," the "tape" (is that stored with the Whitey tape in Roger Stone's freezer, or do you have the only copy?) and the assurances of a classy magna Harvard Law grad (I'm so glad a place was made for you there), are the last patriotic bulwarks against the majority of Americans that Obama has brainwashed(gosh, even some that are intelligent and successful!) with a cult of personality. Eventually we'll all wake up and realize that not only is he wrong about everything and a communist/terrorist/America-hating bastard, but he's actually stupid despite insidious appearances to the contrary. The three of you will be so pleased.

Michael B, I think there's a certain party in 1930s Germany that you may be overlooking in your compelling analysis of 20th century political cults of personality, even granting your generous, big tent assessment that Mussolini was left wing. But I'll give you the benefit of the doubt, as I have the fine gentleman whose remarks are touched on in my first paragraph. In fact, why limit it to 20th century totalitarianism? Attila the Hun, in an earlier era, as we all know, was into spreading the wealth.
10.31.2008 2:25pm
Thales (mail) (www):
Apologies, make that "gentlemen." My laud of them still stands.
10.31.2008 2:28pm
Hoosier:
Obelisk: My apologies. I could have clarified that meant a Democrat in a significant national security role. My point-of-reference for such things is FDR appointing Stimson to the War Department when France fell.

flyerhawk:
I suspect that Obama will appoint some Republicans in his cabinet. Chuck Hagel certainly is a possibility.

I have a decent knowledge of Hagel, and once spent a bit of time with him. (One day, but that's more than I have with anyone else who "is somebody.") I'd strongly recommend to Obama, if he's reading this, that he not put Hagel in charge of running anything. It might turn into another Les Aspin type situation. Also, he goes through staff at an alarming rate, which is not a good sign; not at all good for morale of any organization that he runs. NSA would be a possibility, but definitely not DOD.
10.31.2008 2:32pm
Dave N (mail):
Hoosier,

Or JFK appointing McNamara. Now THAT worked out well.
10.31.2008 2:38pm
David Warner:
Anderson,

"Can anyone imagine the Grand Alliance with McCain in Eisenhower's shoes?"

Yes.


Ugh,

"a personality cult styled blank slate who desparately needs to be seasoned before taking the helm of anything

Oh you mean Obama. For a second there I thought you were talking about George W. Bush circa 2000."

Perhaps he was. All the more reason to be concerned with history repeating itself. I don't think the shoe fits in either case, but they're far from mutually exclusive.
10.31.2008 2:40pm
Arkady:
@ Zarkov


Drudge reports that reporters from the NY Post, Washington Times and the Dallas Morning News were ousted from the campaign plane replaced by reporters from the African-oriented Jet and Essence magazines.


Yeah, well, Drudge is really a go-to source. Try this one, Off the plane. Note that Fox News is still on the plane, and that the Wall Street Journal reporters haven't been kicked off, either. And McCain's done the same thing:


McCain barred [Maureen] Dowd and Time's Joe Klein, two columnists seen as leaning toward Obama, from his campaign plane


Both cases of barring are lamentable--but this ain't beanbag.
10.31.2008 2:42pm
genob:

And what does that reflect in the first place, other than self-regard, self-promotion, self-aggrandizement, etc.?


While it might reflct all those things, my guess is that it mostly reflects the willingness of a publisher to pay him a lot of money to write them.
10.31.2008 2:43pm
Arkady:

Finally again, by contrast, McCain represents something on the order of an Eisenhower with some occasional mavericky and independent sensibilities


Ah, I think Patton is more on point...
10.31.2008 2:50pm
Brett:
If he is elected—as seems likely—I hope my fellow conservatives will give him a fair shot at demonstrating that he is who he portrays himself as being.


I intend to treat him with precisely the same degree of charity, respect, decency, and honesty as the left has with George W. Bush for the last eight years.
10.31.2008 2:52pm
ginsocal (mail):
I( have to wonder how competent someone is, who has the entire MSM as his own private PR firm, and more than a half billion dollars to spend, yet can't break 50% in approval ratings.

I'm not willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, not for a second. He is the most unsuited candidate for President I can remember, and that includes some pretty weak figures (Dukakis, anyone?). I predict total disaster. And I intend to help it along, to the extent possible.
10.31.2008 2:53pm
David Warner:
Anderson,

"I am not in fact a huge fan of Eisenhower as president -- I'd give him a B+ for foreign policy and a C on domestic -- but to compare him to John McCain is grotesque."

The Toryisation of the Left continues apace.
10.31.2008 2:54pm
Have a flower...:
Washington Times ... ousted from the campaign plane


And TSA kicked the Moonies out of the airports.
10.31.2008 2:56pm
einhverfr (mail) (www):
The second issue is not the wealth distribution issue but a larger question of how Obama addresses issues.

What I have noticed in reviewing his plans, his statements, and his voting record is that:

1) He seems to fight very clearly for civil liberties (MUCH needed after the last two administrations)

2) His proposals have a fair degree of institutional conservatism to them (no radical departures from the status quo, compared for example, to McCain's proposals). You may think this country is too liberal, but if conservatism is a constrained vision, you have to start where we are and back the current tradition to some extent.

3) He has a firm belief that tax cuts for the poor are fundamentally more productive than tax cuts for the wealthy. I suspect he may be right here, but of course the devil is always in the details. A lot of what we are arguing about is this issue.

McCain on the other hand has shown that he is extremely unilateral and that he does not seem to have a vision constrained by much other than his imagination. These approaches, regardless of right vs left suggest to me that he would also be a well-meaning failure or a total disaster, though I think he also has a potential (if he gets over some of the issues) to be a great president.
10.31.2008 3:01pm
eyesay:
Michael B wrote, "despite the fact [Obama has] written not one but two autobiographies without having written any memorable legislation of note."

Go to Thomas and under "Browse Bills by Sponsor" choose Obama. During the 110th Congress, while actively campaigning for President, he has sponsored 130 pieces of legislation, some of which have become law, for instance:

S.906 : A bill to prohibit the sale, distribution, transfer, and export of elemental mercury, and for other purposes. Passed Senate with an amendment by Unanimous Consent. Passed the House 393-5. Signed into law by President Bush October 14, 2008. Became Public Law No: 110-414.

At least one of his bills passed the House and is widely supported in the Senate, but has not come to a vote because of a filibuster on the part of Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK):

S.2433 : A bill to require the President to develop and implement a comprehensive strategy to further the United States foreign policy objective of promoting the reduction of global poverty, the elimination of extreme global poverty, and the achievement of the Millennium Development Goal of reducing by one-half the proportion of people worldwide, between 1990 and 2015, who live on less than $1 per day.

You may not agree with S.2433, but it is a significant piece of legislation with wide support.

During the 109th Congress, in his first two years in the Senate, he sponsored 152 pieces of legislation, some of which have become law, for instance:

S.2125 : A bill to promote relief, security, and democracy in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Passed Senate with an amendment by Unanimous Consent. Passed House on voice vote. Signed into law by President Bush December 22, 2006. Became Public Law No: 109-456.

You may not care about safe handling of elemental mercury, or the United States keeping the promises it made in various international fora including the Millennium Summit, or the fate of the Democratic Republic of Congo. But these are three issues on which Barack Obama has taken leadership and forged strong bipartisan support, two of which were signed into law by President George W. Bush.
10.31.2008 3:11pm
Ben P:

Obama operatives also threatened TV stations that ran campaign ads they didn't like. These are troubling events as they indicate Obama is not shy about silencing opposition.


I think there's an important point to be made here.

I argue against the idea of a pervasive liberal bias in the media, but everyone knows the Media isn't a neutral arbiter of facts. They're a bunch of individuals who's "Job" is to come up with stories to run that will sell. The vast majority of the time they take the information they've given, run with it, then do the research to get the "Democrat says X, Republicans disagree and say Y" political story format.

That means the media can be manipulated and even controlled. Control of the media and viewing the media not as a seperate third party, but as something to be targeted and controlled has been a key feature of at least the last 4-5 presidential political campaigns. The Clinton campaigns really were the first ones to use this effectively, but Bush mastered it. Kerry was downright awful at it. Obama's on par or better than Bush was, McCain's campaign is, I think, rather mediocre at it, but they've done much the same thing on occasion.

In short, I really don't find the fact that Obama's learned history's lessons about managing media perceptions of his campaign as convincing evidence of his policy views.
10.31.2008 3:14pm
JosephSlater (mail):
Hoosier flip-flops on ocelots. That, sir, is a bridge too far.
10.31.2008 3:29pm
Hoosier:
Dave N
Hoosier,

Or JFK appointing McNamara. Now THAT worked out well.


I take your irony, and I'll raise you: McNamara was a disaster, both in DOD and at the World Bank. To quote one of my students from this morning's lecture: "You really don't like McNamara at all, do you professor?"

Nor did McGeorge Bundy work out as National Security Advisor. Plus he bailed as soon as things started going badly in Vietnam.

The lesson in the McNamara/Bundy experience is to avoid appointing liberal Republicans.

I intend to treat him with precisely the same degree of charity, respect, decency, and honesty as the left has with George W. Bush for the last eight years.

OK. But I would like to be more of an adult than Rather, Stewart, O'Donnell (Rosie), O'Donnell (Norah), Matthews, and that guy from MSNBC who appears magically amid the smell of sulfur when one mentions his name.

So I'm asking myself "What would George Marshall have done if he were in my shoes?" Hard to go wrong that way.
10.31.2008 3:39pm
eyesay:
The piece by Stuart Taylor is a biased opinion, including:

* "Rev. Jeremiah Wright, who as head of Trinity United Church of Christ ... had a now-famous penchant for America-hating." Despite shocking rhetoric when listened to out of context, It's clear from the context that Rev. Wright condemns, and calls on condemnation from god, of America's racism, not of America itself.

* "and whose wife, Michelle, asserted earlier this year that America is 'just downright mean' and 'guided by fear'." Again, it's clear that Michelle Obama also loves America. Many people on this blog would agree that that preventing same-sex couples from marrying is downright mean and guided by fear. Many people on this blog would agree that abuses of citizen rights by the police are downright mean and guided by fear.

* "This Obama has endorsed a long list of liberal restrictions on free enterprise that could end up hurting the people they are supposed to help, along with the rest of us: ... renegotiating NAFTA." Many thoughtful Americans agree that some provisions of NAFTA ought to be renegotiated, notably Chapter 11, which allows foreign entities to sue the United States in an unaccountable forum because of purported harm caused by federal, state, or local legislation on foreign investment. State, local, and federal laws intended to protect the environment, workplace safety, or consumer product safety are threatened by this provision of NAFTA. Is it so unreasonable to call for renegotiating some of NAFTA's most extreme provisions?

* "Or would he end up pushing for confiscatory taxes that could stifle entrepreneurship and job creation?" Obama's proposed three percent increase in the marginal tax rate on incomes over $250,000 would return to the level that prevailed under President Clinton, a time of great expansion of entrepreneurship and job creation.

In these and many other ways, Stuart Taylor sheds more heat than light on the policy objectives likely to be pursued in the first and second upcoming terms of the Obama-Biden administration.
10.31.2008 3:41pm
Waldensian (mail):

As for picking Hegal, I don't think that would sooth many GOP brows. He's not very popular in the GOP. In fact, conservatives would view an Hegal appointment as an insult.

Of course, Obama probably would get the same reaction from conservatives if he appointed..... wait for it....

McCain.
10.31.2008 3:47pm
rarango (mail):
And please share with us Anderson, the basis for your grading system. The foreign policy thing: you were perhaps with Ike's approach to Mossadegh in Iran? or perhaps his long sighted policy in siding with colonial regimes in Africa and Asia?
10.31.2008 3:51pm
Toby:
Hawkins:

Didnt Bush declare a much smaller margin of victory to be a "mandate" from the American people

So are you now recommending that Obama follow Bush's example? Some "Change" you want.
10.31.2008 4:00pm
Hoosier:
rarango

I am generally a strong advocate for Ike. But you have nailed the fundamental flaw in his and Dulles's policies in the developing world.

What I would disagree with is the suggestion that the problem was primarily one of "siding with colonial regimes'" as opposed to siding with authoritarian regimes in the Third World that happened to oppose communism. Even those authoritarian that were very anti-colonial and nationalistic--most signficant example: Ngo Dinh Diem in South Vietnam--were not a good bet.

Otherwise, Ike and Foster could have been a lot more forward-looking. No doubt.
10.31.2008 4:02pm
EIDE_Interface (mail):
Toby - how would Obama not have a mandate winning the vote 52.5-47.5? That is a mandate by any historical definition. Oh and most likely gets 370-400 electoral votes. That's a landslide. Republicans are running scared and it's so funny!!!!
10.31.2008 4:17pm
Hoosier:
Republicans are running scared and it's so funny!!!!
OK. When do I start rethinking my plan to be decent about this?

(Focus on the bigger picture, Hoosier. Focus.)
10.31.2008 4:21pm
Sarcastro (www):
I would also like to prematurely gloat at Obama's victory in the hopes that my hubris will drive Hoosier over the edge.

I can only assume there will be no comeuppance!

No Comeuppance!
10.31.2008 4:26pm
Brett:
OK. But I would like to be more of an adult than Rather, Stewart, O'Donnell (Rosie), O'Donnell (Norah), Matthews, and that guy from MSNBC who appears magically amid the smell of sulfur when one mentions his name.


I don't see it as an adult vs. non-adult issue. I view it through the lens of game theory: two-party politics is essentially an iterative prisoner's dilemna, and tit-for-tat is the most effective strategy under those circumstances. Anything else rewards the bad behavior of your opponent.
10.31.2008 4:26pm
PC:
I don't see it as an adult vs. non-adult issue. I view it through the lens of game theory: two-party politics is essentially an iterative prisoner's dilemna, and tit-for-tat is the most effective strategy under those circumstances. Anything else rewards the bad behavior of your opponent.

With some games, the only way to win is not to play.
10.31.2008 4:30pm
Hoosier:
Sarcastro
I would also like to prematurely gloat at Obama's victory in the hopes that my hubris will drive Hoosier over the edge.

I can only assume there will be no comeuppance!

No Comeuppance!


OK Hubris-Guy. I'm sending an email to Nemesis right after I get off work today. And I'm sending a link to your post.
10.31.2008 4:31pm
Brett:
With some games, the only way to win is not to play.


Thank you, Joshua.
10.31.2008 4:32pm
Norman Bates (mail):
eyesay:

Counting the bills Obama has co-sponsored in the Senate is about as useful as counting the number of hands he has shaken. If a Senate bill, motion, or whatever is out there, any Senator is welcome to co-sponsor as long as he and the bill's author are not involved in a blood feud. Unless you are deliberately trying to delude peoople who are not knowledgable of the legislative process, you need to get a better grasp of the legislative process.
10.31.2008 4:36pm
EH (mail):
Can anybody give me an idea of whether the discourse on The Volokh Conspiracy will improve after Tuesday? Cuz these days it's pretty retarded. The only thing missing is Bart de Palma.
10.31.2008 4:39pm
Arkady:
@ginsocal


I'm not willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, not for a second. He is the most unsuited candidate for President I can remember, and that includes some pretty weak figures (Dukakis, anyone?). I predict total disaster. And I intend to help it along, to the extent possible.


That's the ticket. Party above country.
10.31.2008 4:46pm
eyesay:
Norman Bates, please reread my posting. I wrote "During the 110th Congress, while actively campaigning for President, he has sponsored 130 pieces of legislation, some of which have become law." Obama sponsored these pieces of legislation. You are right that cosponsoring legislation is not a lot of work, but these are bills that Senator Obama sponsored, which means that he and his staff researched the issue and wrote the bill, and he generated the bipartisan support required for passage. I also wrote "During the 109th Congress, in his first two years in the Senate, he sponsored [not cosponsored] 152 pieces of legislation, some of which have become law."
10.31.2008 4:48pm
PC:
That's the ticket. Party above country.

I remember when President Bush had a 90% approval rating. I wonder if Republicans will return the favor if there's a President Obama?
10.31.2008 4:49pm
Suzy (mail):
I'll be shocked if Obama does not appoint both Colin Powell and Chuck Hagel to significant leadership positions in his administration.
10.31.2008 4:51pm
Hoosier:
EH
Can anybody give me an idea of whether the discourse on The Volokh Conspiracy will improve after Tuesday? Cuz these days it's pretty retarded.

No. We're always like this. VC is the only blog on the internet tubes devoted to analysis and discussion of legal issues from the perspective of retarded people.

Ok. I have to go soil myself.
10.31.2008 4:57pm
David Warner:
Brett,

"I intend to treat him with precisely the same degree of charity, respect, decency, and honesty as the left has with George W. Bush for the last eight years."

I'd think anyone who values such things would act in such a way as to reflect those values.
10.31.2008 4:57pm
Hoosier:
PC

I remember when President Bush had a 90% approval rating. I wonder if Republicans will return the favor if there's a President Obama?

Gee. 90%? Are you sure?

Was there some sort of important event that drove the approval ratings that high? Or are Democrats just really swell folks?
10.31.2008 4:59pm
Anderson (mail):
I am generally a strong advocate for Ike. But you have nailed the fundamental flaw in his and Dulles's policies in the developing world.

Hence my B+ instead of an A. I rather doubt that a Democrat would've been much more sensible, but Eisenhower's stature was such that he could have stood against the notion that America was entitled to bump off annoying governments. The same character that made him such an effective "diplomat general" in Europe, made him insufficiently willing to take controversial stands as president (Little Rock is the exception that proves the rule).

-- And yes, Hoosier, if you've got the McCain-Eisenhower Comparison ready to trot out, bring it on!
10.31.2008 5:01pm
Guest12345:
President Clinton, a time of great expansion of entrepreneurship and job creation.


Seen that posted a few times and I've always wondered if any of the people who post it realize that Clinton rode a bubble and was entirely lucky to get out before it deflated. Fiscal policy during the Clinton years resulted in seven trillion dollars in wealth destruction.
10.31.2008 5:04pm
eyesay:
Guest12345, in the first place, your own source blames Greenspan and not Clinton for a bubble. In the second place, give Clinton credit for some things. Just as it took Nixon to go to China, it took a centrist liberal Democrat, Clinton, to end generations of welfare dependency and replace the existing welfare system with a new one with lifetime benefit limits and improved incentives for welfare to work. These and other things achieved by President Clinton despite having to work with a Republican-controlled Congress for most of his administration, and despite being hamstrung for months by the silliest impeachment case in American history, amount to significant leadership in helping the economy grow and creating jobs at a significantly faster rate than population growth, which is the opposite of what his successor has achieved.
10.31.2008 5:24pm
ginsocal (mail):
Uh, Arkady, it has nothing to do with "party." It has EVERYTHING to do with "country." Any action which effectively stymies the implementation of the Cult of Obama is beneficial to the country. No proposal of his that I know of would be good for individual freedom, and thus the country as a whole.

He was born to, raised in the company of, educated and promoted by people who view the United States as a pariah nation that must be destroyed in order to "save" it. Any other less strident view of him is self-delusion.
10.31.2008 5:30pm
Anderson (mail):
born to, raised in the company of, educated and promoted by people who view the United States as a pariah nation that must be destroyed in order to "save" it

His mother said that where, exactly?

KEEP ON being complete jerks, people. It makes it unnecessary to trouble ourselves to figure out anything else you say.
10.31.2008 5:36pm
Hoosier:
I should add that I am rather upset by Obama's promise to add Alger Hiss and Harry Dexter White to his White House staff. I'm sorry, Obamaniacs, but I don't view this as a good sign.
10.31.2008 5:43pm
Guest12345:
eyesay, I wasn't blaming Clinton. I was pointing out that there was a bubble during that time frame and when it popped, it destroyed seven trillion dollars. Clinton got the run-up, Bush got the collapse. The cite of tax policy as being relevant to growth and prosperity during a bubble is all I was answering.
10.31.2008 5:45pm
Dave N (mail):
Can anybody give me an idea of whether the discourse on The Volokh Conspiracy will improve after Tuesday?
Well I am hoping that JBG disappears back into whatever hole he crawled out of, since he only comments on the political threads.
10.31.2008 5:50pm
JosephSlater (mail):
Meanwhile, former Reagan Chief of Staff Kenneth Duberstein has endorsed Obama.
10.31.2008 5:54pm
PC:
Meanwhile, former Reagan Chief of Staff Kenneth Duberstein has endorsed Obama.

Duberstein only endorsed Obama because Obama is half white.
10.31.2008 6:00pm
Felix Sulla:
ginsocal wrote:
He was born to, raised in the company of, educated and promoted by people who view the United States as a pariah nation that must be destroyed in order to "save" it. Any other less strident view of him is self-delusion.
I've always wondered something which I think ginsocal can answer: how does someone manage to comment on a blog like this from a padded room in a straitjacket? Do the orderlies take dictation? How does foaming at the mouth affect all of this?

Sarcastro, come back! We need you now...
10.31.2008 6:17pm
Toby:
EIDE_INterface:

Hawkins appeared to be advocating that Obama was justified in alienating all who voted against him as his first act in office due to his mandate, even if it trashed his entire presidency, because (so he claimed) Bussh had alientated all who voted against him as *his* first act in office, after a smaller mandate.

I merely observed that if he felt that his candidates policy should be "to do what Bush but more so", it was an odd kind of change, an odd way to bring the country together.

Observing that "Yeah, but Bush's Mandate was smaller" seems either apallingly obtuse, or apallingly partisan, mere excitably poor reading comprehension.
THe point that th
10.31.2008 7:03pm
EH (mail):
Uh, Arkady, it has nothing to do with "party." It has EVERYTHING to do with "country." Any action which effectively stymies the implementation of the Cult of Obama is beneficial to the country.

Historically, nationalism has been the vehicle for right-wing fascism. I'm not throwing around 'fascism' like Palin does 'socialism,' it's the hallmark of right-wing extremism and it's a (if not the) central tenet of the McCain-Palin ticket. "Country First."
10.31.2008 7:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
nyu:

if the polls are correct and he only wins by 5 percentage points instead of a landslide


I think your expectations are distorted. In the post-FDR era, only Ike and Bush I have managed to exceed 51% while running as a non-incumbent. No Ds.

If Obama wins his first term with 51% or more, he will have accomplished something that all of the following did not accomplish:

Bush II
Clinton
Reagan
Carter
Nixon
JFK
Truman

hawkins:

Didnt Bush declare a much smaller margin of victory to be a "mandate" from the American people?


Exactly. In 2004, when Bush won 50.7%, Cheney and lots of other people promptly called that a "mandate."

ginsocal:

I( have to wonder how competent someone is, who has the entire MSM as his own private PR firm, and more than a half billion dollars to spend, yet can't break 50% in approval ratings.


I have to wonder how competent someone is who tries to invent their own facts.

RCP currently lists 279 national polls taken since 11/06. Obama managed to "break 50%" (i.e., score 51% or higher) this many times: 31. So you have a peculiar concept of the word "can't." And this is how many times Obama managed to "break 50%" just in October: 19. Out of those 279 national polls, this is how many times McCain managed to score 51% or higher: 2. The last time that happened? 9/2.

But by all means, keep hope alive.

I predict total disaster. And I intend to help it along, to the extent possible.


How patriotic of you.
10.31.2008 7:44pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
nyu:

then you get the story on Drudge today about him booting from his campaign every paper that endorsed McCain


The plane is crowded. Despite that fact, Fox is still on the plane, even though their bias is legendary. McCain has also booted people. As arkady and others have explained. Get a grip.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
hoosier:

Clinton made a serious error in stronly suggesting that he'd include Republicans in his cabinet, and then failing to do so during his first administration. Bush ought to have done so after 9/11, and he didn't.


Bush didn't include Republicans in his cabinet?

Sorry, I know it's a really bad joke. I couldn't control myself.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
michael b:

What legislator, in the entire country, writes two autobiographies without having written any noteworthy legislation?


Your opinion of what's "noteworthy" might not be universal.

Information about Obama's legislative record is here. Summary information on the 800 bills he sponsored is here. More about that here.

By the way, it's quite ironic that you describe Obama as a "blank slate" while also noting he wrote two books about himself. And he wrote them by himself. No co-author, a la McCain.

The "blank slate" accusation is baloney. Try reading his 33-page Blueprint for Change (pdf), or the other extensive material he's posted at his site.

wfjag:

Obama has no record


See above.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
slater:

[addressing hoosier] Oh, and re one of your posts on another thread, while I found it entirely reasonable on the substance, I must ask: what, exactly, do you have against ocelots?


You thought that hoosier talking about an ocelot in my shorts was "entirely reasonable on the substance?" You're kinkier than I thought. Not that there's anything wrong with that.

Then again, you might be thinking of a different comment. Or a different ocelot. Or a different hoosier.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
bates:

Steve Sailer


You're citing "a leading promoter of racist pseudoscience." This doesn't help your credibility.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
dave n:

more Democrats have served under President Bush than Republicans who served under President Clinton


This statement is a bit misleading, because not every job has equal importance. For example, the Director of the White House Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives and the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture (Ds appointed by Bush) are a bit less important than Chairman of the Federal Reserve and U.S. Secretary of Defense (Rs appointed by Clinton).

The length of the titles is a pretty reliable inverse indicator.
10.31.2008 7:45pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
michael:

the most noteworthy personality cults of the 20th century were all of the Left


Right. That's why we've seen people teaching their kids to worship Bush. And erecting Mao-style billboards glorifying him. And writing books describing him as "The Messiah: The Chosen One."

All that happened because Bush is "of the Left." Thanks for clearing that up.

the Oil for Bribes scandal as another example of deeply entrenched, counter-productive malignancies at the U.N.


I guess you must be thinking of the Oil-for-Food scandal that Bush helped facilitate:

the Bush administration was made aware of illegal oil sales and kickbacks paid to the Saddam Hussein regime but did nothing to stop them ... the Senate report found that US oil purchases accounted for 52% of the kickbacks paid to the regime in return for sales of cheap oil - more than the rest of the world put together ... The United States was not only aware of Iraqi oil sales which violated UN sanctions and provided the bulk of the illicit money Saddam Hussein obtained from circumventing UN sanctions ... On occasion, the United States actually facilitated the illicit oil sales.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
larsomn:

There is no evidence-none--ZERO--that Obama is even moderately intelligent


hoosier? Are you around? Cause recently on another thread you sounded like you weren't quite sure that people were actually claiming that Obama wasn't bright. Right about now I suppose you might be thinking that larsomn is my sock puppet. His timing is impeccable.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
visitor:

One might have cause to wonder whether it is too much to expect any good will from those Republicans who even now are depicting Obama as a lying, ignorant, incoherent, empty-headed, foppish, elitist, socialist, terrorist-loving, friend to communists, America-hating Muslim, Arab, inexperienced, two-faced, hypocritical, inarticulate, flowery-mouthed wimp


You forgot this: "the baby-murdering Muslim."
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
dave n:

As opposed to how Democrats portray John McCain? (see any random JBG post about McCain to get the latest DNC talking point).


If you had an iota of intellectual integrity, you would show proof that I have done what you are implying: say something unfair, incorrect or false about McCain. But you don't, and you can't, so you won't.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
sarcastro:

Also, Khalidi tape! This guy is dangerous! Like, super-villain dangerous! He hornswaggled McCain out of like 44K!


Minor correction. The amount was $448,873.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
genob:

it mostly reflects the willingness of a publisher to pay him a lot of money to write them


The publisher was willing "to pay him a lot of money" not because the publisher intended to read the books himself. The publisher had the wacky idea of printing lots of copies and selling them to lots of people, for actual money. And that's what actually happened!

Obama didn't get rich because of "the willingness of a publisher to pay him a lot of money." Obama got rich because a lot of people bought his books. Imagine that! Obama created something that a lot of people wanted to buy, and he made a fortune. How socialist of him.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
brett:

I intend to treat him with precisely the same degree of charity, respect, decency, and honesty as the left has with George W. Bush for the last eight years.


"The left" was part of the group that gave Bush 90% approval ratings, right around the time he invaded Afghanistan. That does indeed indicate plenty of "respect."
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
walden:

Of course, Obama probably would get the same reaction from conservatives if he appointed..... wait for it....

McCain.


Brilliant. Thank you.
10.31.2008 7:46pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
hoosier:

Gee. 90%? Are you sure?


Yes. Look it up.

Was there some sort of important event that drove the approval ratings that high? Or are Democrats just really swell folks?


Both.
10.31.2008 7:47pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
guest:

Fiscal policy during the Clinton years resulted in seven trillion dollars in wealth destruction


You're giving Clinton the blame for the deflation of the bubble, but you're not giving him credit for the inflation of the bubble. That makes no sense whatsoever. You're trying to have it both ways.

The deflation erased a lot of the wealth that was created in the dot-com years, but by no means did it erase all of it. Not even close.
10.31.2008 7:47pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
eh:

Historically, nationalism has been the vehicle for right-wing fascism.


I think it's worth repeating what John Cole has said about "the new Christian Nationalist party:"

the narrowing of the Republican party down to the vicious, ignorant, bitter core of Palin acolytes and Rovian hacks is a good thing, and the Christian Nationalists that will take over the party will be more than willing to throw aside the McClellans, the Powells, the Buckleys, and everyone who they deem has shown insufficient fealty to the cause. We should support that. The more we can marginalize the rancid remains of the GOP into a discredited Palin wing, the neo-cons with their hillbilly yokel Christian right front, the better.
10.31.2008 7:47pm
David Warner:
Anderson,

"KEEP ON being complete jerks, people. It makes it unnecessary to trouble ourselves to figure out anything else you say."

I'm curious as the to referents of your respective plurals above.
10.31.2008 7:54pm
EIDE_Interface (mail):
You can be guaranteed that on Nov. 5th the level of vitriol will go up 100x what it is now. You will long for these days.
10.31.2008 8:00pm
Hoosier:
Historically, nationalism has been the vehicle for right-wing fascism.

Except where it hasn't. Let's not get goofy with the historical "rules," my friends.
10.31.2008 8:06pm
JosephSlater (mail):
Jukeboxgrad:

When I posted about Hoosier's reference to ocelots, I did not recall specifically whose clothes he was speculating said animals might be inhabiting. The substance I was referring to was him being willing to agree that Obama was "very smart" but not willing to cede that he was a "legal genius," which seemed like a reasonable position to me.

FWIW, I generally quite enjoy your posts, and do not wish any mammal in your clothes that you would not want there.
10.31.2008 8:07pm
Dave N (mail):
dave n:


more Democrats have served under President Bush than Republicans who served under President Clinton


This statement is a bit misleading, because not every job has equal importance. For example, the Director of the White House Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives and the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture (Ds appointed by Bush) are a bit less important than Chairman of the Federal Reserve and U.S. Secretary of Defense (Rs appointed by Clinton).

The length of the titles is a pretty reliable inverse indicator.
Jukebox does his usual dissembling. Editing others comments and taking comments out of context.

I mentioned four former Democratic mwmbers of Congress. I provided the link to the Wikipedia page. For those who did not bother to links, the former Democratic members of Congress serving in the Bush Administration are:

Norman Mineta--Secretary of Transportation
Pete Geren--Secretary of the Army
Paul McHale--Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Security
Tony Hall--Ambassador to United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture

None of those people is head of the White House Office of Faith and Community Initiatives.

Thus my point about JBG: Take something out of context.

Oh, and JBG, your smears of both John McCain and Sarah Palin have been nothing short of disgusting. I have integrity. I have no problem debating with those on the left who do (and I have happily done so on these threads). You, on the other hand, are nothing but a partisan hack and troll who loves to take things out of context to make whatever idiotic point you wish to make.
10.31.2008 8:12pm
Hoosier:
Joseph Slater

When I posted about Hoosier's reference to ocelots, I did not recall specifically whose clothes he was speculating said animals might be inhabiting.
(Emphasis added)

Don't let jbg's methods infect your almost ostentatiously reasonable mind, my friend. You are twisting my words: It was only one ocelot.
10.31.2008 8:19pm
Dave N (mail):
JBG,

And for specific examples: you smeared John McCain's entire military career--arguing that McCain's career is solely due to the fact of his parentage and nothing else. You provide no proof for these assertions--just links of dubious validity.

As for Sarah Palin, you have trashed her for the audacity of taking her special needs child on the campaign trail, helped spread the Andrew Sullivan canards, and more recently had the utterly incomprehensible argument that Sarah Palin is a socialist because she supports the royalty checks that Alaska residents get for the exploitation of a resource OWNED by the people of the state of Alaska.
10.31.2008 8:19pm
Hoosier:
Anderson,

"KEEP ON being complete jerks, people. It makes it unnecessary to trouble ourselves to figure out anything else you say."

Would it help if I used smaller words?
10.31.2008 8:20pm
JosephSlater (mail):
almost ostentatiously reasonable

If I ever write another book, can I use that on the dust jacket?

You are twisting my words: It was only one ocelot.

Check and mate. Well played.
10.31.2008 8:21pm
Guest12345:
You're giving Clinton the blame for the deflation of the bubble, but you're not giving him credit for the inflation of the bubble. That makes no sense whatsoever. You're trying to have it both ways.


I'm not giving anyone blame. I'm just saying that I see people write that Clinton had all this economic growth and it just didn't really happen that way. The chart labeled Equivalent Data From the International Monetary Fund, shows that Clinton was 1-2% better than GWB, and worse the Reagan. You want to talk some fantastic and amazing growth and prosperity I'm going to need to see something particularily outstanding, not middle of the pack.
10.31.2008 8:41pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
slater:

The substance I was referring to was him being willing to agree that Obama was "very smart" but not willing to cede that he was a "legal genius," which seemed like a reasonable position to me.


I assumed this is probably what you meant (and I agree that it's a reasonable position), but I couldn't resist the opportunity to get involved in the ocelot-talk (even though I did so somewhat at your expense). It's a new thing for me (I got the idea from hoosier), but I can see right off the bat how much fun it is.

Anyway, thanks for being such a good sport, and I enjoy your posts enormously.

do not wish any mammal in your clothes that you would not want there


The last time I caught a mammal in my clothes, they explained it was because the outfit they really wanted to wear was at the dry cleaners.

That's what happens when you live with a person who's about the same size.
10.31.2008 10:22pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
dave:

Jukebox does his usual dissembling. Editing others comments


It's called "quoting." It represents a middle ground between two extremes: pasting in your entire comment (a very silly thing to do), or not pasting in anything at all. And those are the only three choices. So you should explain why those other two choices are superior to what you call "editing."

taking comments out of context


An example would be nice. Can you present an example of me doing so?

Here's what I mean by an example of "taking comments out of context." Imagine, if you will, someone making a statement like this:

A prominent politician yesterday referred to Barack Obama as "this black boy."


And then imagine discovering that the original passage said this:

I think it already has sent a wave of approbation and admiration in many countries around the world, just knowing that this black boy who grew up with just a loving mother and grandparents -- and that was about all he had to start with -- does now have a chance to become the nominee of the Democratic Party for president.


(Emphasis added.) The word "boy" is appropriate because the speaker is making a reference to, oddly enough, Obama's actual boyhood. At the time he "grew up," Obama was indeed a "boy."

Now that's what I call "taking comments out of context." But you already know that, right? Because the person who committed this egregious act of "taking comments out of context" was you. As I explained here. So it's no surprise that you would raise the subject of "taking comments out of context," since it's obviously an area of special expertise for you.

None of those people is head of the White House Office of Faith and Community Initiatives.


You're being incoherent. I have no idea what you're getting at. The subtopic was Ds appointed by Bush, and Rs appointed by Clinton. John DiIulio was indeed Director of the White House Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives. He was a D appointed by Bush. He is listed on the wiki page you kindly provided.

My point, which you have not addressed, is that while Bush looks good when you look at the quantity of Ds he appointed (as compared with Clinton), he looks bad when you take into account the fact that Clinton appointed Rs to important jobs. Bush appointed Ds to relatively unimportant jobs. Your original post obfuscated this important fact, and you're still obfuscating.

your smears of both John McCain and Sarah Palin have been nothing short of disgusting


In your typical style, you are showing this many examples: zero. Do you have any proof? Let's see it. What are you waiting for? There's no time like the present.

As usual, your claims are pure wind.
10.31.2008 10:22pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
hoosier:

It was only one ocelot.


I know the film is a little grainy, but take another look at that webcam shot you got your hands on somehow. You're underestimating our little feline friends.

It's fine with me if you keep pushing the single-ocelot theory. Just don't expect to get much traction with those of us who know better.
10.31.2008 10:22pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
dave:

you smeared John McCain's entire military career--arguing that McCain's career is solely due to the fact of his parentage and nothing else


You don't dare quote my exact words, because I never said "solely," or anything synonymous with that. I've said that it was probably a major factor. That's a very logical assertion, and I've backed it with proof.

just links of dubious validity


Really? Tell us exactly what I've cited that's "dubious." In my post here, I cited Timberg, McCain's biographer. Are you really claiming he's "dubious?" Please clarify if that's really what you're saying, because I can show you plenty of proof that he's anything but "dubious."

I also cited an article about McCain's numerous plane crashes. The article is well-sourced. Let me know if that's what you're calling "dubious."

Here's what's "dubious:" you.

As for Sarah Palin, you have trashed her for the audacity of taking her special needs child on the campaign trail


I have trashed her for turning a 3-day old infant into a political prop. Who presents a 3-day old infant to press photographers and reporters? I'll tell you who: someone who is looking for the obvious adoring 'pro-life' headlines that such a stunt would generate, and did generate. And there are many other examples of her using her kids as props.

helped spread the Andrew Sullivan canards


Go find what I actually said, and quote it. I dare you.

more recently had the utterly incomprehensible argument that Sarah Palin is a socialist because she supports the royalty checks that Alaska residents get for the exploitation of a resource OWNED by the people of the state of Alaska


What is socialism if not the idea that resources are owned collectively "by the people of the state?" And that's exactly the word she used: "collectively."

The situation is summed up pretty nicely here:

For her part, Sarah Palin, who has lately taken to calling Obama “Barack the Wealth Spreader,” seems to be something of a suspect character herself. She is, at the very least, a fellow-traveller of what might be called socialism with an Alaskan face. The state that she governs has no income or sales tax. Instead, it imposes huge levies on the oil companies that lease its oil fields. The proceeds finance the government’s activities and enable it to issue a four-figure annual check to every man, woman, and child in the state. One of the reasons Palin has been a popular governor is that she added an extra twelve hundred dollars to this year’s check, bringing the per-person total to $3,269. A few weeks before she was nominated for Vice-President, she told a visiting journalist—Philip Gourevitch, of this magazine—that “we’re set up, unlike other states in the union, where it’s collectively Alaskans own the resources. So we share in the wealth when the development of these resources occurs.” Perhaps there is some meaningful distinction between spreading the wealth and sharing it (“collectively,” no less), but finding it would require the analytic skills of Karl the Marxist.


And speaking of Karl the Marxist, which pinko came up with the idea the government should own all that land, and all that oil? Doesn't Palin believe in free markets, and private ownership? Why would anyone think the government can manage that land more efficiently than a private company would? If it's OK for the government to own all that land, why not just let the government own all the land in the whole state? What's the difference? Because it's a good idea to "share in the wealth," right?
10.31.2008 10:22pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
hoosier:

Would it help if I used smaller words?


No. But if you have any small words you can spare, you might want to pass them along to Michael B. He could use them.
10.31.2008 10:22pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
guest:

I'm not giving anyone blame.


You said this:

Fiscal policy during the Clinton years resulted in seven trillion dollars in wealth destruction


Sure sounds like blame to me.
10.31.2008 10:22pm
Anderson (mail):
KEEP ON being complete jerks, people. It makes it unnecessary to trouble ourselves to figure out anything else you say

I said that in direct response, w/ quotation, to the guy who accused Obama's mother of being anti-American.

The rest of you are simply pretending to be obtuse. And getting better at the pretense every day.
10.31.2008 10:38pm
Hoosier:
"The rest of you are simply pretending to be obtuse."

No, no. Sorry if you got that impression. It's just that when you wrote "people," we thought that you meant *us*.
10.31.2008 11:43pm
DavidBernstein (mail):
Jukebox, please try to limit yourself to a reasonable number of comments per post. You have 25 on this one. That's beyond excessive. If you don't restrain yourself, I'll have to ban you.
10.31.2008 11:46pm
Kevin P. (mail):
Jukeboxgrad probably gets paid by the post, David. If you restrict his posting, he won't be able to put food on the table. We evil-hearted libertarians will have to watch the little guy starve.
11.1.2008 12:21am
sol vason (mail):
I think some one will try to destroy the USA. I hope I am wrong. But his fund raising is based on a deliberate plan to violate existing laws in order to permit massive donations ($100,000,000 and up) from a few donors who are probably foreign governments using simple computer programs to masquerade as small donors. If he did not plan on support from foreign governments, then why set up his fund raising to specifically permit it.

I suspect that a man who seeks out as many anti-USA supporters and acquaintances as some one has, has done so for reasons other than intellectual curiosity.
11.1.2008 12:41am
Hoosier:
sol vason: If you are right about Obama, and if we elect him anyway, then there really is no point in us having a country of our own anyway. We are not fit for self-government.

Since I can't accept the conclusion, I'm not accepting the premise.
11.1.2008 1:09am
David Warner:
Hoosier,

"No, no. Sorry if you got that impression. It's just that when you wrote "people," we thought that you meant *us*."

I was more curious about the "ourselves" actually. Is it some sort of royal we? The Axelrod welcoming committee (if it is, Anderson's damn good)? Or perhaps Anderson and friends are the Sharks. Who are the Jets?
11.1.2008 1:25am
Brett:
jukeboxgrad:

"The left" was part of the group that gave Bush 90% approval ratings, right around the time he invaded Afghanistan. That does indeed indicate plenty of "respect."


That's nice. I said "for the last eight years", not "for the last four months of 2001, when 9/11 temporarily shook Democrats out of their Bush Derangement Syndrome".
11.1.2008 1:57am
LM (mail):
Brett:

That's nice. I said "for the last eight years", not "for the last four months of 2001, when 9/11 temporarily shook Democrats out of their Bush Derangement Syndrome".

It was a lot longer than 4 months. Ninety percent may have been a relatively brief spike, but Bush's approval ratings stayed at historically high levels until it became clear we would invade Iraq.

But that's neither here nor there; the duration isn't the issue. Are you suggesting there isn't a Global War on Terror that compels all loyal Americans to rally around the President? Because if there isn't, why were critics of our Iraq policy labeled unpatriotic, the perturbed reaction to which -- some people are so touchy about being called traitors -- the accusers defined as Bush Derangement Syndrome?

(BTW, can conservatives catch Bush Derangement Syndrome?)
11.1.2008 6:18am
David Warner:
LM,

"(BTW, can conservatives catch Bush Derangement Syndrome?)"

A lot of conservatives disagree with Bush, but disagreement is not derangement. BDS refers to opinions grounded in premises either outlandish on their face or at least highly unlikely. If I opposed Bush because I was afraid he was going to eat Earth, that's BDS.
11.1.2008 2:13pm
LM (mail):

If I opposed Bush because I was afraid he was going to eat Earth, that's BDS.

Have you ever seen Bush and Galactus in the same room?
11.1.2008 4:03pm
David Warner:
LM,

"Have you ever seen Bush and Galactus in the same room?"

My theory is that Bush is the one the Phoenix Force has selected to take into the next universe, so that after he exhausts all the poor, defenseless peoples of this universe, he can slake his unquenchable bloodlust in a whole new one.
11.1.2008 5:32pm
LM (mail):
David Warner:

My theory is that Bush is the one the Phoenix Force has selected to take into the next universe, so that after he exhausts all the poor, defenseless peoples of this universe, he can slake his unquenchable bloodlust in a whole new one.

I've assumed that was Heather Mills, but I'll give your theory some thought.
11.1.2008 7:06pm
Randy R. (mail):
David Bernstein: " If you don't restrain yourself, I'll have to ban you""

Banning Jukeboxgrad" ?!??!!! Because he posts TOO MUCH?! Yes, we have too much civil discussion on a topic -- gotta put our foot down and totally ban a commentator. Sure we like a few posts, but if we actually have to read too many, well, that's just beyond the pale. sheesh.

Good lord. I don't always agree with him (but I usually do), but his posts are always civil, even when people are not civil to him. Moroever, he almost backs up his points with links for support, something almost no one else ever does. You should be happy and proud that your blog has attracted such commentator.

Your blog as a button so that if I don't like a particular blogger, I can refuse to read him. If any other person has complained about his posts, they can easily block him. Or even better, they can just skip over him.

Yes, of course. the problem in America is that we have WAY too many people who are knowledgeable about the issues and take the time to educate us on it. Those who do should know that they are NOT welcome on a blog that purports to be a place where people can see what the other side is thinking. God forbid we should encourage civil discourse.

David, if you don't like his numerous posts, click the button. If this blog is just a vanity project for you, then by all means, ban all those whom you dislike. But if you have this blog obstensibly as an open forum for discussion on various issues, then you have to take what comes. You have a clear policy regarding civility. If you want to create a new policy regarding number of posts, you should at least have the decency to create it and publish it.

In the mean time, let a thousand flowers bloom.
11.1.2008 9:32pm
Brett:
Are you suggesting there isn't a Global War on Terror that compels all loyal Americans to rally around the President? Because if there isn't, why were critics of our Iraq policy labeled unpatriotic, the perturbed reaction to which -- some people are so touchy about being called traitors -- the accusers defined as Bush Derangement Syndrome?


I'm not suggesting anything. I'm flat-out stating that the political left has been on balance, for the last eight years, not a good-faith "loyal opposition", but absolute human garbage for whom no low was too low to stoop in its effort to destroy a Republican president that it burned with irrational hatred towards.
11.1.2008 11:11pm
nohype (mail):
What percentage of graduates of Harvard Law graduate magna or summa cum laude? Is graduating with honors from Harvard Law as common as graduating with honors from Harvard with an undergraduate degree, where about 90% of the students graduate with honors? (See http://www.admissionsboards.com/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=71)
11.1.2008 11:32pm
Randy R. (mail):
Brett: " I'm flat-out stating that the political left has been on balance, for the last eight years, not a good-faith "loyal opposition", but absolute human garbage for whom no low was too low to stoop in its effort to destroy a Republican president that it burned with irrational hatred towards"

Because you think W wasn't able to destroy his presidency all by himself? I guess that's were we disagree. And, considering the fact that so many loyal Republicans have endorsed Obama, I guess that little tent of good decent human beings is really quite small.
11.1.2008 11:49pm
nyu law libertarian (www):
Right, so 5 percentage points means more than I thought. I'll hold my breath and submit the same argument replacing the 5 with a 1. Is this realistic? I hope so, because Obama with a mandate could be frightening ... especially with a Dem Congress - If he actually believes what he is saying on the campaign trail in the final stretch. But maybe I'm just "making a virtue out of selfishness."
11.2.2008 1:04am
LN (mail):

What percentage of graduates of Harvard Law graduate magna or summa cum laude?


10%. It's really not that hard to find out. Googling "Harvard Law magna cum laude" returns this as the first hit.

HLS Grading System
11.2.2008 1:43am
David Warner:
LM,

"I've assumed that was Heather Mills, but I'll give your theory some thought."

Ever seen Mills and Palin in the same room together? Call Oliver Stone!
11.2.2008 1:23am
David Warner:
"Banning Jukeboxgrad" ?!??!!! Because he posts TOO MUCH?!"

I agree that banning JBG would go against the spirit of the VC. I'm waiting with some bemused fascination for him (her?) to stumble upon the argument against interest. Then truly nothing will stand in his way.

The more alien mentalities the merrier, I always say.
11.2.2008 1:30am
jukeboxgrad (mail):
db:

Jukebox, please try to limit yourself to a reasonable number of comments per post. You have 25 on this one. That's beyond excessive. If you don't restrain yourself, I'll have to ban you.


I definitely want to follow the rules, but it's hard to tell what they are. The last time you threatened to ban me, I demonstrated that some other people had done things much worse than what I had allegedly done. And had not been banned, or even threatened, as far as I can tell. (It turns out that The Ace was eventually banned, but by someone other than you.)

Now you're raising a complaint about my 24 comments in this thread (it was 24, not 25). Those comments are 15% of the total. But I notice that TJIT posted 21 comments here (31% of the total). A.W. posted 16 comments here (19% of the total). cboldt posted 33 comments here (18% of the total). Gary Anderson posted 33 comments here (17% of the total). And he posted 17 comments here (17% of the total). And he posted 20 comments here (16% of the total). In threads here and here, Mac posted about 16% of the comments. He posted 18 comments here. He posted 23 comments here. A. Zarkov posted 16% of the comments here. Perkins posted 15% of the comments here, and 14% of the comments here. Bruce Hayden posted 15% of the comments here. Ralph Phelan posted 26 comments here. Gaius Marius posted 19 comments here. He posted 25 comments here. William Oliver posted 21 comments here. ejo posted 14% of the comments here. Hoosier posted 23 comments here. He posted 20 comments here. He posted 21 comments here. Richard Aubrey posted 13% of the comments here. SIG357 posted 37 comments here. The Ace posted 23 comments here. And Michael B posted 10% of the comments here.

I'm guessing that you've never done an analysis like this, and so I figured you might find it interesting. In my analysis, I ignore short threads, for fairly obvious statistical reasons. All the threads I've mentioned have at least 60 comments, and most of them have over 100. I've also ignored all threads that aren't yours. I also ignored threads prior to 2008.

This data shows that it's not unusual for one poster to post 20-30 comments, or sometimes more. It's also not unusual for one poster to post 10-20% of the comments in a long thread. However, it is unusual for someone to do this and then be threatened by you. As far as I can tell, you have never threatened to ban any of the people I just mentioned. As far as I can tell, you've only threatened banning four times (in 2008). Two of those threats were directed at me (one in this thread and one that I cited above). Recently you threatened to temporarily ban anyone who mentioned what happened here. And here you threatened someone in connection with their remarks about Israel.

Here's one thing TJIT, A.W., cboldt, Gary Anderson, Mac, A. Zarkov, Perkins, Bruce Hayden, Ralph Phelan, Gaius Marius, William Oliver, ejo, Hoosier, Richard Aubrey, SIG357, The Ace, and Michael B. have in common: they have all done roughly the same kind of allegedly "excessive" posting that you have just complained about. Here's something else they have in common: as far as I can tell, you've never threatened to ban them. Here's something else they have in common: their political views are roughly congruent with yours.

DailyKos has a policy statement that indicates, explicitly and bluntly, that the purpose of the site is to get Democrats elected. Here you obviously have no comparable policy statement. However, in light of the data I've compiled, I wonder if you should consider adding such a statement, strictly as a practical matter. It would create a less perplexing situation for a commenter like me.

One could even argue that adding such a statement would also bring VC up to the ethical level of DailyKos, with regard to being transparent about one's agenda.

If you have a problem with the content of my posts, it would be helpful to hear you say that. But if the problem is one of quantity (absolute or relative), then it's hard to understand why you haven't threatened to ban the other 17 people I mentioned.

Here's another interesting statistic: in over 90% of your threads, I haven't posted at all.
11.2.2008 1:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
db:

That's beyond excessive.


Speaking of "beyond excessive," that reminds me. I already mentioned him above, but A.W. deserves a special shout-out. His history (in a variety of threads, including some of yours) includes stuff like this:

asswipe
idiocy
deluded
stupid
twisted
who cares what you think
dumb
liar
nitwit
hack
delusional
it never ends with you howling monkeys on the left
bullshit
your boy Obama
idiot
you are a child
pig
hack
stoopid
you complete moron
you cave man
dumb as a rock
you are deluding yourself
fascist
stupider
the lunacy of the modern left
you are a joke
do you really think you can act so childish
Jukie-pukie
schmuck
why don't you read the f---ing article, you idiot.
you are officially a nitwit
what a maroon!
you are scum
stupid
are you deranged?
shut the f--- up
you are being an a--
you are an idiot
you suck


(See here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.)

Your policy statement says nothing about quantity, but it does say something about civility.
11.2.2008 1:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
brett:

absolute human garbage


Speaking of civility. Your timing is impeccable. David, please note that here you threatened to ban me for saying this:

The ad is effective only with people who are simple-minded, ignorant, and easily-fooled. In other words, the ad is effective mostly with people who were going to vote GOP anyway.


And later I showed data to support my assertion.

If I had to choose between living in village A, the one filled with "absolute human garbage," as compared with living in village B, the one filled with the "simple-minded, ignorant, and easily-fooled," I think I would reluctantly choose B. In which village would you feel more comfortable?
11.2.2008 1:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
kevin:

Jukeboxgrad probably gets paid by the post


If you bump into Soros before I do, tell him I could use a raise.
11.2.2008 1:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
randy:

You should be happy and proud that your blog has attracted such commentator.


Thank you for your kind words.
11.2.2008 1:07pm
jukeboxgrad (mail):
warner:

I agree that banning JBG would go against the spirit of the VC.


Thanks for your support. Likewise, I agree that banning you would go against the spirit of the VC. Although if they ever wanted to get rid of you, they would only need to prohibit excessively long sentences.

I'm waiting with some bemused fascination for him (her?)


That site isn't mine. I don't own the name. Just like there are a bunch of other David Warners and David Bernsteins out there.

to stumble upon the argument against interest.


I know what that phrase means, but I don't understand how it's relevant here. I need a big IQ boost before I can keep up with your oblique references. Unless by "argument against interest" you mean this. But that makes no sense either.

alien mentalities


Aliens are people too.
11.2.2008 1:07pm
Brett:
Because you think W wasn't able to destroy his presidency all by himself? I guess that's were we disagree.


The fact that Bush has been a lousy president doesn't excuse the behavior of his political opponents.

And, considering the fact that so many loyal Republicans nominally-Republican political opportunists have endorsed Obama, I guess that little tent of good decent human beings is really quite small.


Fixed that for you.
11.2.2008 5:30pm
Math_Mage (mail) (www):
Frankly, I think this piece smacks more of desperation than anything. The Obama of the past provided hard-left liberalism, he writes. The Obama of the present promises moderate centrism. Most telling, I think, are these statements near the end:

To be sure, apart from these less-than-bold gestures, Obama's down-the-line liberal voting record does not give a centrist like me much basis for hope that he would resist pressure from Democratic interest groups, ideologues, and congressional leaders to steer hard to the left.

But I do hope that if Obama wins, the enormity of the economic and international crises facing him will accelerate his intellectual evolution and convince him that simply replacing dumb Bush policies with dumb Democratic policies will only drive the country deeper into the ditch.


In other words, the moderate Obama has nothing standing behind it but the promises he's made. While Taylor hopes that Obama will be forced to evolve, he admits that it's not likely.
11.2.2008 11:28pm